Tuesday, December 11, 2007

The Most Pure Kind of Passion

"It's always fascinating, however, to read about the passion Paul does inspire in his fans."
http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2007/12/the_daily_2008_180.html

It's the purest, most admirable kind of passion because the guy is the straightest shooter up there. I mean, how can you go wrong when you the Constitution is your guide 100% of the time?? I'd argue that his supporters are the most dedicated to the Constitution and have the most faith in what the Founding Fathers did. They have the most respect for the Founding Fathers. Any supporter of the so-called "Living Constitution" or of any non-defense, non-justice taxpayer-funded government program or any regulation of private behavior, they think less of the wisdom of what the Founding Fathers put down in writing, whether it's the Constitution, the Declaration of Independence, the Federalist Papers, etc

Monday, December 03, 2007

Please...

Giuliani Assails 'Fair Tax' Plan (http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D8TA6KR80&show_article=1&catnum=0)

GREENSBORO, N.C. (AP) - Republican presidential hopeful Rudy Giuliani criticized the "fair tax" plan that has been touted by rival candidate Mike Huckabee on Monday, saying it could hurt home buyers.
The former New York City mayor cited the struggling U.S. housing market as a reason to avoid the plan, which would eliminate all taxes on income and investments in favor of a hefty federal sales tax.
A questioner asked about the plan but did not mention Huckabee. Nor did Giuliani mention his rival in his response.
"I think there are several tax deductions that are vital to our economy," Giuliani said. "This would not be a good time—I don't know if there would ever be a good time to do this—to advocate ending the home mortgage deduction. The home mortgage deduction is considered by many critical to the ability of people to buy a home and keep their home."
He also said deductions for charitable contributions and state and local taxes were important tax breaks that Huckabee's plan would eliminate."
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Who would seriously want to keep the system we have now, instead of a much simpler, less time-consuming option, just for the deductions? No tax deduction is "vital" to the economy. People won't refrain from buying a house because they won't get to write part of it off. And it has been shown that charitable giving actually increases when taxes are lowered, not necessarily when deductions are increased.

It'd be one thing if he were showing how his radical tax simplification plan was preferable, but he's not. Only Thompson and Paul could do that. How does Rudy want to drastically reform the tax code??

Sunday, December 02, 2007

Theoretically Wrong; Practically...Correct

I was going to give a regular guy's rebuttal to Michael Kinsley's piece in the L.A. Times yesterday ("Flat-tax and spend GOP", http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/la-oe-kinsley1dec01,0,1162496.story?coll=la-opinion-rightrail). I was so confident that I could provide a quality response to his 'I-don't-know-how-he-won;-I-don't-know-anyone-who-voted-for-him' attitude and tone, but he got me in the end, (ahem) so to speak.

Maybe he was just exaggerating when he said he thinks "approximately zero" people would go for the simplicity of a flat tax or embedded (it's NOT a sales tax) FairTax if it meant losing deductions which would thereby increase their tax bills. To that, I was going to say he must have forgotten the approximately 6 billion hours Americans take each year to file their taxes. He must not fully understand the concept of opportunity cost. Some of those hours are hours that could be spent doing something else, whether something leisurely or productive. And what about all the money people already spend to have their taxes done for them? My guess is that those who have more and varied deductions might pay more and/or spend more time to do their taxes. That might make it a wash. To use Fred Thompson's plan on us as an example, we could choose to pay a flat 10% for this year. After accounting for personal exemptions ($39K for a family of 4, ~$49K when extrapolating that out to a family of 5, such as ours), our tax bill would roughly be what it would the same either way. Hmm, I'll go the simpler, flatter route. The only problem with Thompson's plan (and it's a small one, given that it is, after all, a step in the right direction) is that the rate would go up to 25% after income of $100K. As it stands right now, we straddle that line in that the missus works part time while our girls are pre-K. What will be the incentive for her to go back to work some more, not necessarily full-time if the little bit we go over $100K would compel us to pay another 15% in marginal taxes? We'd have more incentive for her to keep us just under that threshold to avoid it. Now THERE'S a system meant to foster productivity!

Then I wondered if the Congressional Joint Committee on Taxation uses the same kinda static scoring of this tax cut that always, always overestimates the revenue shortfall from a tax cut (or, for that matter, underestimates the revenue increase from a tax hike). Why, oh why is it always assumed that the tax base will stay the exact same after alterations to the tax code? This is the folly that is the liberals' belief that wealth just occurs. It will always be there for more taxing. It never occurs to them...do they think it appeared just out of thin air?? Do they not think it has to be created it? Do they not think increased taxation is a disincentive to create more, or at least to change reporting structures so as to shelter more from taxation??

I was also going to no doubt perplex Mr. Kinsley again by raising my hand to say I'd accept lower Social Security payments (as long as I get back close to what I put in; please, just that) for a simpler tax code. I believe Thompson would also allow me to take back some of my contributions and invest them on my own, which I know could earn me a higher return.

He went on to say some other goofy stuff, like if person A's taxes go down, person B's taxes must necessarily go up, before stating the obvious: "The GOP bluff has been called. Republicans had six years in which they controlled the White House and (for most of that time) Congress. They could have cut any spending they wanted. They did the opposite. None of the realistic Republican presidential possibilities is discussing spending cuts except in the vaguest terms."

That makes it tough to be an enthusiastic GOP supporter.